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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Bournemouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50')
Senesi (65'), Lerma (77'), Vina (86')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
40.97% (-0.759 -0.76) 26.82% (0.175 0.18) 32.21% (0.584 0.58)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (-0.53 -0.53)54.18% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.444 -0.44)75.59% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)26.03% (0.642 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.87 -0.87)61.06% (0.869 0.87)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.129 0.13)31.29% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.149 0.15)67.65% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 40.97%
    Bournemouth 32.21%
    Draw 26.81%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.227 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
45.7%
Draw
16.4%
Bournemouth
37.9%
140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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