Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Everton |
42.28% | 26.93% | 30.79% |
Both teams to score 49.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.95% | 55.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.69% | 76.31% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.26% | 25.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.33% | 60.66% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% | 32.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% | 69.29% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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