Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.09% ( -0.02) | 26.32% | 35.59% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( 0.01) | 51.58% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.01) | 73.37% ( -0) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0) | 26.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( -0.01) | 61.55% ( 0.02) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% ( 0.02) | 27.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% ( 0.02) | 63.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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