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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
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Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Belenenses

Arouca
0 - 0
Belenenses


Esgaio (24'), Simao (54')
FT

Akas (84'), Camara (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Belenenses

While a draw seals Arouca's safety, Belenenses need all three points to move into the relegation playoffs spot and keep their slender survival hopes alive. We predict a cagey affair with the Arouquenses doing just enough to force a share of the spoils and confirm O Belem's relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBelenenses
45.96% (-0.769 -0.77) 26.73% (0.181 0.18) 27.31% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.33 -0.33)55.85% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.269 -0.27)76.97% (0.271 0.27)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)24.26% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (-0.73 -0.73)58.62% (0.73 0.73)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.308 0.31)35.82% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.314 0.31)72.6% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 45.95%
    Belenenses 27.31%
    Draw 26.73%
AroucaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.31%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Belenenses
2-1
Arouca
Varela (73'), Camara (90+3')
Phete (11'), Sithole (45+2'), Sousa (53'), Calila (57'), Nuno (65'), Safira (70'), Tavares (86')
Phete (18')
Dabbagh (37')
Nunes (43'), Dabbagh (59')
Silva (6'), Dabbagh (76')
Feb 27, 2017 8pm
Arouca
1-2
Belenenses
Tomane (38')
Tomane (31'), Bolat (42'), Santos (62'), Velasquez (89')
Maurides (53', 58')
Silva (28'), Gomes (33')
Sep 26, 2016 8pm
Belenenses
1-1
Arouca
Camara (15')
Gomes (70'), Rosell (80')
Kuca (50')
Adilson (29'), Miguel Prata Coelho (35')
Feb 21, 2016 4pm
Belenenses
0-2
Arouca

Bakic (45'), Nunes (79'), Aguilar (90')
Rafael (80')
Gonzalez (66'), Lima (82')
Jubal (35'), Adilson (45'), Mateus (55'), Bastos (74')
Jubal (39'), Mateus (84')
Sep 27, 2015 5pm
Arouca
2-2
Belenenses
Valente (76'), Basto (86')
Roberto (91')
Sousa (41'), Leal (71')
Leal (75'), Ventura (82'), Silva (85'), Tonel (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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