Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
45.94% ( -0.93) | 26.43% ( 0.23) | 27.63% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% ( -0.48) | 54.53% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% ( -0.4) | 75.88% ( 0.4) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% ( -0.64) | 23.69% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% ( -0.94) | 57.8% ( 0.93) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( 0.31) | 34.86% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.4% ( 0.32) | 71.59% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.94% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |