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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Portimonense

Braga
6 - 1
Portimonense

Horta (47'), Elmusrati (52' pen.), Djalo (59'), Banza (83' pen., 87', 90')
Djalo (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedrao (10')
Costa (42'), Tornich (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Casa Pia
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Portimonense

 Portimonense have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks but will have to show their mettle against a Braga side who are unbeaten in the previous 18 meetings between the sides. While Braga have suffered a drop-off in form of late, they boast the firepower needed to turn things around this weekend and we are backing them to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPortimonense
63.59% (3.492 3.49) 20.29% (-1.116 -1.12) 16.11% (-2.378 -2.38)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-1.169 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86% (0.877 0.88)42.13% (-0.877 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46% (0.873 0.87)64.54% (-0.873 -0.87)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (1.304 1.3)12.59% (-1.305 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.32% (2.641 2.64)38.68% (-2.642 -2.64)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.78% (-2.279 -2.28)39.22% (2.277 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.07% (-2.203 -2.2)75.92% (2.201 2.2)
Score Analysis
    Braga 63.59%
    Portimonense 16.11%
    Draw 20.29%
BragaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.603 0.6)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.746 0.75)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.306 0.31)
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.55 0.55)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.291 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.49 -0.49)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.541 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.383 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.269 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.11%

How you voted: Braga vs Portimonense

Braga
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Portimonense
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 30
Braga
4-1
Portimonense
Ruiz (2'), Medeiros (32'), Niakate (38'), Horta (67')
Gomes (45+2')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Ouattara (40')
Medeiros (65' pen.), Oliveira (83')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Portimonense
1-2
Braga
Carmo (63' og.)
Relvas (41')
Moura (5'), Couto (22')
Moura (89')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 10
Braga
3-0
Portimonense
Galeno (5', 53'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Medeiros (38'), Elmusrati (47'), Horta (80')

Sa (24'), Willyan (38'), Angulo (38'), Carlinhos (49'), Nakajima (55'), Aponza (80')
> Preview
May 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-0
Braga
Beto (14'), Possignolo (35'), Boa Morte (41'), Willyan (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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