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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Porto

Braga
0 - 0
Porto


Niakate (82'), Djalo (88'), Gomez (90+3')
FT

Wendell (33'), Otavio (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 2-2 Porto

With Porto's defence not as watertight as it once was, a free-scoring Braga outfit should feel confident of chalking up a couple of goals, especially with the wise old head of Pepe potentially not being available. However, Conceicao's side could have easily racked up a few themselves against Inter on another day and can also exploit the hosts' inexperienced centre-back pairing, so Sunday's podium battle should live up to the billing in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BragaDrawPorto
30.73% (1.113 1.11) 27.09% (0.821 0.82) 42.17% (-1.939 -1.94)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-1.968 -1.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-2.773 -2.77)55.69% (2.768 2.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-2.314 -2.31)76.84% (2.309 2.31)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.63199999999999 -0.63)33.11% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.29% (-0.702 -0.7)69.7% (0.69699999999999 0.7)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91% (-2.223 -2.22)26.08% (2.218 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-3.084 -3.08)61.14% (3.081 3.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 30.73%
    Porto 42.17%
    Draw 27.08%
BragaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.829 0.83)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.375 0.38)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.884 0.88)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.267 -0.27)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.5 0.5)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.412 -0.41)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 42.17%

How you voted: Braga vs Porto

Braga
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Porto
28.6%
35
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 9.15pm
Porto
4-1
Braga
Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Pepe (55' og.)
Medeiros (23')
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Braga
Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Porto
2-3
Braga
Otavio (30'), Marega (75')
Otavio (84')
Ruiz (9', 14'), Piazon (28')
Esgaio (43'), Piazon (77'), Magalhaes (80')
Borja (34')
Feb 10, 2021 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
1-1
Porto
Fransergio (90+12')
Sequeira (46'), Carmo (62'), Elmusrati (79'), Horta (90+10'), Esgaio (90+10')
Taremi (10')
Sarr (25'), Costa (90+7'), Evanilson (90+11')
Diaz (70'), Uribe (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon99003022827
2Porto98012341924
3Benfica86112251719
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
5Braga9522156917
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes94321110115
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231211114
8FamalicaoFamalicao934297213
9Casa Pia9324711-411
10Gil Vicente92431114-310
11Estoril PraiaEstoril9234812-49
12AVS9234716-99
13Rio AveRio Ave9225618-128
14AroucaArouca9216517-127
15BoavistaBoavista9135512-76
16Estrela Amadora9135715-86
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense9117315-124


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