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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Santa Clara

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Soma (75'), Clayton (90+4')
Godwin (6'), Kunimoto (13'), Martins (35'), Soares (42'), Baro (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Silva (82' pen.)
Bobsin (70'), Adriano (90+3'), Babi (90+5'), Henrique (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 3-1 Santa Clara

Having suffered a slump in recent weeks, Casa Pia will be happy to go up against a floundering Santa Clara side who are without a win in eight straight games. The Acoreanos' lack of goalscoring threat remains a cause for concern and we are backing Casa Pia to outscore the visitors and walk away with all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSanta Clara
39.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 28.42% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 46.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)60.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.75% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)71.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 39.49%
    Santa Clara 32.09%
    Draw 28.41%
Casa PiaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.09%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Santa Clara

Casa Pia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
0-0
Casa Pia

Boateng (32')
Antonio (81')

Neto (25'), Jorge Cecilia Batista (61'), Taira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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