Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.