Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
22.87% | 25.29% | 51.84% |
Both teams to score 48.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% | 53.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% | 75.18% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% | 38.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% | 75.3% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% | 20.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% | 53.34% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.87% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 12.57% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |