Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.05% ( -0.59) | 25.86% ( 0.04) | 24.09% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( 0.27) | 54.75% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( 0.23) | 76.07% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( -0.14) | 21.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( -0.21) | 55.18% ( 0.21) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.66) | 38% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.63) | 74.77% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |