Gil Vicente

2 - 0

Casa Pia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.