Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
33.64% | 29.53% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 43.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.35% | 63.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.06% | 82.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% | 72% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% | 33.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% | 69.69% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 28 | 27 |
2 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 |
3 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 19 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Casa Pia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
12 | AVS | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 9 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 7 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
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