Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
We expect this match to be a very tight affair like the previous three meetings this season. However, Sporting have been flawless at home so far and have not lost in their last two home matches against Benfica. A slender victory for the home side looks likely.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.12% . A win for Benfica had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.3%) . The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (5.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result Sporting Lisbon Draw Benfica 58.12% ( 0.02) 19.35% ( 0) 22.52% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.83% ( -0.02)
72.85% ( -0.02) 27.15% ( 0.02)
52.32% ( -0.03) 47.67% ( 0.03)
90.5% ( -0) 9.49% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 68.15% ( -0.01) 31.84% ( 0)
76.05% ( -0.02) 23.94% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.82% ( -0.03) 58.17% ( 0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 58.12%
Benfica 22.52%
Draw 19.35%
Sporting Lisbon Draw Benfica 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.16% 4-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.96% 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 58.12% 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 19.35% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 22.52%
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
Draw
Benfica
57
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-02 20:16:56 Result
MedvedevLehecka
46
(ret.)
Result
Sinner Auger-Aliassime
(ret.)
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