Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Rio Ave | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
59.86% ( -0.04) | 21.9% ( 0.02) | 18.24% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% ( -0.07) | 45.58% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% ( -0.06) | 67.91% ( 0.07) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.18% ( -0.03) | 14.82% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.88% ( -0.07) | 43.11% ( 0.07) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.26% ( -0.02) | 38.74% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% ( -0.02) | 75.47% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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