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Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Jun 18, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Sociedad logo

Alaves
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sainz (56'), Aguirregabiria (90+6')
Duarte (51'), Pina (71')
Pina (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Llorente (42'), Elustondo (49'), Zaldua (54')

Preview: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Sociedad make the trip to Mendizorrotza to face Alaves on Thursday night looking to strengthen their grip of fourth place in the La Liga standings.

Meanwhile, Alaves welcome their Champions League-chasing opponents having began the week in 15th position, seven points above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Real Sociedad's Martin Odegaard celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 6, 2020© Reuters

Eager to remain in the top four, Real Sociedad would have been hugely disappointed to have only secured a 1-1 draw at home to Osasuna on their return to action Sunday.

However, the result will have now been put into context with only one of the teams placed between fourth and 13th recording a victory since last Thursday.

The number of stalemates leaves Sociedad with a one-point advantage over Getafe and Atletico Madrid ahead of a fixture which they will expect to win.

When also taking into account that their most recent draw came from a losing position, boss Imanol Alguacil will take more positives than negatives from his team's opening 90 minutes since March.

Nevertheless, with Real Madrid to come on Sunday, Alguacil will acknowledge that the stakes have increased with his team looking to avoid more dropped points at a crucial stage of the campaign.

From Alaves's perspective, a 2-0 defeat away at bottom-of-the-table Espanyol represented a disastrous start to action being played behind closed doors.

Fernando Pacheco's early dismissal played a significant part in that setback as their hosts netted their two goals either side of half time.

However, with their winless streak now extended to three matches, Asier Garitano has a major job on his hands to get his team back on track over the coming weeks.

Although their immediate schedule is more favourable to some of their rivals, they still have to face both Madrid sides and Barcelona in their final 10 games.

That will naturally lead to hope being placed on the shoulders of Lucas Perez, who will hope to return from injury to add to his 11 goals and five assists for the season.

Alaves La Liga form: WLWDDL

Real Sociedad La Liga form: WWWLWD


Team News

Alaves forward Lucas Perez pictured in December 2019© Reuters

After missing the opening fixture due to a lack of fitness, Perez should feature in attack on Thursday night.

Pacheco's red card also means that there will be a change between the sticks, with former West Ham United stopper Roberto taking his place.

Aleix Vidal has been passed fit to feature on the right flank after sustaining a knock.

Meanwhile, Sociedad will have to do without Mikel Merino, who sits out the trip due to suspension.

Having only been used as substitutes against Osasuna, Adnan Januzaj and Alexander Isak will expect to be handed a recall.

The same goes for Asier Illarramendi, who is back fit again after not making an appearance since August due to a broken leg.

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Roberto; Navarro, Ely, Laguardia, Duarte; Vidal, Pina, Fejsa, Mendez; Perez, Joselu

Real Sociedad possible starting lineup:
Remiro; Zaldua, Elustondo, Normand, Monreal; Odegaard, Llorente, Zubeldia; Januzaj, Isak, Oyarzabal


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Alaves 1-2 Real Sociedad

With both teams still getting up to speed, this could turn out to be a closely-fought contest. However, we are backing the superior quality of the visitors to ultimately shine through, potentially in the latter stages when fitness levels are on the decline.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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