Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.87%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.