Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
