Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ural Yekaterinburg in this match.