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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
3 - 1
Al Hazem

Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, April 30 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Hazem

With an almost entirely overhauled squad that now features players that have experience at the very highest level of football, Al Ahli Saudi are a side that are expected to do well this season, and we expect they get going with a solid win in their first match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Ahli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Ahli.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
41.67% (-0.379 -0.38) 28.75% (0.417 0.42) 29.57% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-1.131 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-1.404 -1.4)61.93% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-1.048 -1.05)81.69% (1.045 1.05)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)29.31% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71% (-1.108 -1.11)65.29% (1.106 1.11)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.8 -0.8)37.32% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.797 -0.8)74.1% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 41.66%
    Al Hazem 29.57%
    Draw 28.75%
Al-AhliDrawAl Hazem
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.52% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Hazem

Al-Ahli
82.9%
Draw
11.4%
Al Hazem
5.7%
35
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Al-Ahli
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli32187766353161
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun321510749341555
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab32118134239341
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Riyadh32710152954-2531
15Al Tai3287173359-2631
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3285193584-4929
18Al Hazem32312173173-4221


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