Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
25.38% ( -0.02) | 24.09% ( 0.14) | 50.53% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( -0.62) | 46.6% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( -0.58) | 68.87% ( 0.58) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( -0.35) | 32.44% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( -0.39) | 68.96% ( 0.39) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( -0.28) | 18.47% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.32% ( -0.48) | 49.67% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 72 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 66 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 44 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 43 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 39 |
10 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 35 | 84 | -49 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |