Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.