Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.91% ( -1.12) | 24.19% ( 0.25) | 20.89% ( 0.87) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% ( 0.04) | 51.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% ( 0.03) | 73.28% ( -0.03) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% ( -0.41) | 18.64% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% ( -0.69) | 49.95% ( 0.69) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% ( 0.94) | 39.26% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( 0.87) | 75.97% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Livingston | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |