Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.