Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
62.36% ( -0.2) | 20.61% ( -0.01) | 17.04% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 54.12% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( 0.42) | 41.83% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.77% ( 0.42) | 64.23% ( -0.42) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( 0.07) | 12.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.78% ( 0.15) | 39.22% ( -0.15) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.11% ( 0.5) | 37.9% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.33% ( 0.49) | 74.67% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 62.35% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 17.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 26 |
2 | Livingston | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 22 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Partick ThistlePartick | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |