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Hearts logo
Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals
Nov 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')
Kingsley (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 0-5 Rangers
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-2 Rangers

In what is set to be a hard-fought, intense semi-final between two sides desperate to add silverware, Rangers may just have the firepower to claim a place in the final. With both sides currently in the Premiership top four, the winner will more than likely go on to be the favourite in the final, making this a huge clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
23.24% (2.249 2.25) 21.84% (1.22 1.22) 54.91% (-3.471 -3.47)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-1.162 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (-2.964 -2.96)38.51% (2.962 2.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (-3.208 -3.21)60.81% (3.206 3.21)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.27200000000001 0.27)29.81% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.328 0.33)65.89% (-0.331 -0.33)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-1.998 -2)14.02% (1.996 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-4.074 -4.07)41.56% (4.072 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 23.24%
    Rangers 54.91%
    Draw 21.84%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.487 0.49)
1-0 @ 5.06% (0.714 0.71)
2-0 @ 3.06% (0.452 0.45)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 23.24%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.735 0.74)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.562 0.56)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.84%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.549 0.55)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.448 -0.45)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.506 -0.51)
0-4 @ 2.6% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.91%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
17.2%
Draw
10.3%
Rangers
72.4%
29
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Rangers
2-1
Hearts
Tavernier (90' pen.), Danilo (90+3')
Lundstram (31')
Shankland (5')
Offiah (15'), Cochrane (72'), Haring (89'), Vargas (90+8'), Forrest (90+7')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Rangers
2-2
Hearts
Cantwell (45+4'), Sakala (47')
McGregor (37'), Yilmaz (55'), Morelos (58')
Shankland (1'), Kuol (90+4')
Naismith (44'), Ginnelly (45+5'), Rowles (63'), Smith (78'), Kuol (90+4')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Hearts
0-3
Rangers
Morelos (9', 68'), Tillman (34')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Rangers
1-0
Hearts
Tillman (66')
Oct 1, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Hearts
0-4
Rangers
Colak (6', 30'), Morelos (76'), Kent (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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