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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Ayr United

Livingston
2 - 0
Ayr

Nouble (12'), Montano (64')
Montano (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Livingston and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Rangers 4-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

We said: Livingston 2-1 Ayr United

 Ayr have already picked up a victory against a Scottish Premiership side on their travels this season after beating St Johnstone 2-1 in the group stage of the Scottish League Cup. However, they have lost their last two matches against Livingston in the competition, and we think that the hosts will do enough to progress to the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawAyr United
51.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 24.48% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.12% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)49.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.37% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)50.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.72% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 51.39%
    Ayr United 24.12%
    Draw 24.47%
LivingstonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.12%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Livingston
4-0
Ayr
Chalmers (4' og.), Fitzwater (6', 12'), Forrest (44')
Lawson (72'), Brown (84')

Miller (71')
> Match Report
Jul 16, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Livingston
2-1
Ayr
Souda (25'), Lamie (83')
Murdoch (51')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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