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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
3 - 1
Kilmarnock

Hatate (22'), Palma (33'), Taylor (82')
Taylor (68'), Scales (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Watson (72')
Mayo (28'), Vassell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-2 Lazio
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock might have picked up a surprise victory when they last faced the Hoops, but it is unlikely that will take place this time. Celtic have been too strong for most teams this season, particularly offensively, and that should be the case this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
75.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 15.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.85% (0.0040999999999993 0)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)32.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)54.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.3% (0.0061 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)26.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 75.13%
    Kilmarnock 9.85%
    Draw 15.03%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 10.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.31% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 75.13%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 15.03%
1-2 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.85%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
90.9%
Draw
9.1%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Celtic
Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
1-4
Celtic
Donnelly (45')
Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 3
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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