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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Motherwell logo

Hibernian
1 - 0
Motherwell

Porteous (67')
Hanlon (39'), McKirdy (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Slattery (43'), Efford (74'), Lamie (79'), Penney (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 0-2 Hibernian
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-5 Motherwell
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Motherwell

Hibernian will be expected to continue their winning run in this fixture although Motherwell could be a tricky test after a narrow defeat to Celtic followed by a comfortable win against Ross County. A win against a struggling Ross County was a good way for Motherwell to get back on track but we believe Hibernian will be just too strong for them in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.

Result
HibernianDrawMotherwell
59.25% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 23.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 17.39% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.8% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)48.05% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87%80.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 59.24%
    Motherwell 17.39%
    Draw 23.36%
HibernianDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 13.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Motherwell

Hibernian
69.2%
Draw
23.1%
Motherwell
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30pm
Motherwell
1-2
Hibernian
Efford (43')
Roberts (7'), McGinley (80'), Lamie (83')
Mugabi (2')
Melkersen (15', 37')
Melkersen (11'), Jasper (54'), Allan (85'), Macey (90+3')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
1-1
Motherwell
Nisbet (33')
Newell (64'), Campbell (74')
Watt (60')
Slattery (42'), van Veen (75'), Goss (90+2')
Aug 1, 2021 4.30pm
Motherwell
2-3
Hibernian
Van Veen (12'), Mugabi (29')
Carroll (22'), Slattery (31'), van Veen (55'), O'Donnell (69'), Kelly (70')
Magennis (17'), Doidge (56'), Boyle (70' pen.)
Hanlon (48'), Stevenson (59'), Porteous (76')
Apr 24, 2021 5pm
Hibernian
2-2
Motherwell
Hibernian win 4-2 on penalties
Doidge (52'), Irvine (80')
Gogic (45'), Boyle (88'), Irvine (115'), Hallberg (120+2')
Gogic (120+2')
Lamie (82'), Watt (88')
O'Hara (112'), McGinley (120')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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