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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
2 - 4
Aberdeen

Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 3-3 Ross County
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-1 Aberdeen

Both teams are in desperate need of three points right now, and that is something that they will each want to fix in midweek. Motherwell have showcased strong attacking qualities in home fixture throughout the campaign and that in itself should give them the edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
46.35% (0.137 0.14) 25.07% (-0.026 -0.03) 28.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.035999999999994 0.04)48.5% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)70.63% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.073999999999998 0.07)20.96% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.119 0.12)53.71% (-0.128 -0.13)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)30.96% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.74% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)67.26% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.34%
    Aberdeen 28.58%
    Draw 25.06%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.34%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
40.0%
Draw
26.7%
Aberdeen
33.3%
30
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
3-1
Motherwell
Lopes (42'), Miovski (64', 69')
Van Veen (75' pen.)
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Motherwell
1-2
Aberdeen
McKinstry (55')
Miovski (4'), Lopes (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aberdeen
2-3
Motherwell
Miovski (42'), Hayes (47')
MacKenzie (90+6')
Spittal (20'), Slattery (52'), Van Veen (55')
Slattery (35'), Morris (85')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 27
Motherwell
1-1
Aberdeen
O'Hara (68')
Shields (31'), Mugabi (45+4'), Donnelly (52'), Lamie (90+2')
Besuijen (34')
McCrorie (3'), Gallagher (45+4'), Ferguson (83')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Fifth Round
Motherwell
2-1
Aberdeen
Van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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