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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Hibs logo

St Mirren
0 - 1
Hibernian


Fraser (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Youan (77')
Hanlon (66'), Campbell (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Hibernian
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Hibernian

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched sides will likely to take place in Paisley, with the winners set to finish the weekend in fourth spot. Hibs have fared well in recent meetings with St Mirren, but we believe that the hosts will do just enough to secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hibernian in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawHibernian
35.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 28.14% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.52% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)31.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)30.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01)67.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 35.34%
    Hibernian 36.52%
    Draw 28.14%
St MirrenDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.34%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hibernian

St Mirren
30.0%
Draw
40.0%
Hibernian
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
3-0
St Mirren
Boyle (45+4' pen.), Kukharevych (63'), Henderson (67')

Gogic (38')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
1-0
Hibernian
Baccus (6')
Ayunga (33')

Newell (13'), Youan (15'), Hanlon (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-1
Hibernian
Shaughnessy (87')
Power (7'), Flynn (36'), Tanser (71'), Alnwick (90')
Campbell (52')
Porteous (11'), Cadden (37'), Campbell (68'), McGregor (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic330087285987
2RangersRangers320179275281
3Hearts311149371266
4Kilmarnock31114538755
5St Mirren31024247-546
6Dundee30034662-1641
Relegation Group
1Aberdeen33004149-844
2Motherwell32015554143
3Hibernian31024858-1042
4Ross County31023564-2933
5St Johnstone30032652-2631
RLivingston32012764-3724
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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