Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 36.86%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 31.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.52%) and 1-2 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
