Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 34.11%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.76%) and 2-1 (6.41%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (14.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.