Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
28.53% | 22.59% | 48.88% |
Both teams to score 63.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.8% | 37.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.59% | 59.4% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% | 25.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% | 59.96% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.44% | 15.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.49% | 44.51% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 9.36% 0-1 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 4% 1-4 @ 2.7% 0-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |