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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Lazio logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Lazio


Okoli (12'), Soppy (45+1'), Muriel (59')
Muriel (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Cataldi (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Lazio

A third straight draw between these sides seems the likeliest outcome, as neither gives much away at the back and they are well-matched in other areas. A fascinating tactical battle between 'Gasp' and Sarri is set to ensue, and fine details could determine the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
49.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.8% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.06% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)44.44% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.086999999999996 0.09)66.81% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07)17.95% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (0.125 0.13)48.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.77%
    Lazio 26.43%
    Draw 23.8%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Lazio

Atalanta BC
57.2%
Draw
26.8%
Lazio
15.9%
138
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
Sep 30, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
1-4
Atalanta
Caicedo (57')
Marusic (12'), Alberto (26'), Leiva (40'), Cataldi (70'), Acerbi (72'), Caicedo (75'), Immobile (90+4')
Gosens (10'), Hateboer (32'), Papu (41', 61')
Djimsiti (17'), Freuler (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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