Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Spezia |
45.77% ( -0.01) | 26.31% ( 0) | 27.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.06% ( -0.01) | 53.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.61% ( -0) | 75.38% ( 0) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0.01) | 23.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( -0.01) | 57.55% ( 0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( -0) | 34.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0) | 71.02% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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