Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan3 - 1Lazio
We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Lazio
After a 3-1 win in August's reverse fixture, Lazio can do the double over Inter, who have repeatedly stumbled in the league and seem distracted by their cup commitments. Maurizio Sarri is set to secure his 150th Serie A victory; taking his team one step closer to Champions League football in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Lazio |
44.8% ( -0.41) | 26.74% ( 0.03) | 28.45% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
