Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Monza had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
30.99% ( 0.02) | 25.2% ( -0.17) | 43.81% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.12% ( 0.76) | 47.88% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.94% ( 0.7) | 70.06% ( -0.69) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.39) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 0.48) | 64.83% ( -0.48) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.4) | 21.84% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.6) | 55.07% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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