Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
57.08% ( -2.01) | 23.38% ( 0.81) | 19.53% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.11% ( -1.61) | 49.88% ( 1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% ( -1.46) | 71.88% ( 1.45) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -1.27) | 17.25% ( 1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.43% ( -2.28) | 47.56% ( 2.27) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( 0.41) | 39.79% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( 0.37) | 76.46% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.08% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.37% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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