Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
We said: Napoli 2-0 Cremonese
Separated by some 48 points before kickoff, these sides come from different stratospheres, and a repeat of January's cup shock is unlikely this week. Indeed, Napoli are set to take maximum points with another clinical performance, leaving Cremonese winless and rooted to the foot of Serie A's standings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result |
| Napoli | Draw | Cremonese |
75.72% ( -0.34) | 14.77% ( 0.13) | 9.51% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( 0.42) |
| 67.55% ( 0.07) | 32.45% ( -0.07) |
| 45.91% ( 0.08) | 54.09% ( -0.08) |
| 92.87% ( -0.05) | 7.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.14) | 25.96% ( 0.14) |
| 56.81% ( 0.48) | 43.18% ( -0.48) |
