Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
36.85% | 25.22% | 37.92% |
Both teams to score 56.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.31% | 46.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% | 68.95% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% | 24.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% | 59.4% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% | 24.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% | 58.59% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.01% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |