Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Napoli | 3 | 7 | 7 |
5 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Empoli | 3 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Lecce | 3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
64.16% ( -0.27) | 20.34% ( 0.16) | 15.5% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.48% ( -0.46) | 43.52% ( 0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.09% ( -0.45) | 65.91% ( 0.45) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( -0.22) | 12.85% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.78% ( -0.45) | 39.22% ( 0.45) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( -0.13) | 40.85% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( -0.12) | 77.42% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 64.16% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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