Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.87% | 19.97% | 65.15% |
Both teams to score 51.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.85% | 43.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.45% | 65.54% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.53% | 41.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.03% | 77.97% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.54% | 12.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.6% | 38.4% |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.55% 2-1 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.27% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.87% | 1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 5.16% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 11.2% 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 6.85% 0-4 @ 4.05% 1-4 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-5 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.57% 1-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.32% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |