Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
37.65% | 25.72% | 36.64% |
Both teams to score 55.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.08% | 48.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.99% | 71.01% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% | 25.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% | 60.22% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.02% | 25.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.01% | 60.99% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.81% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |