Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
35.55% ( -0.13) | 28.32% ( 0.18) | 36.13% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( -0.64) | 59.43% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( -0.5) | 79.8% ( 0.5) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -0.41) | 31.75% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( -0.47) | 68.18% ( 0.47) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0.36) | 31.38% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -0.42) | 67.75% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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