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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Lecce logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 0
Lecce

Depaoli (40'), Lazovic (54')
Tameze (17'), Dawidowicz (23'), Ceccherini (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, January 14 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Lecce

Nine of Verona's 10 home goals in Serie A this season have come in the first half of fixtures, and they may need such a good start against in-form opposition. Since Marco Zaffaroni's arrival, though, the Hellas ship has been steadied a little, and a second win from three can help claw them closer to safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
38.97% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.85% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.08% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 38.97%
    Lecce 33.16%
    Draw 27.84%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Lecce

Hellas Verona
50.0%
Draw
23.7%
Lecce
26.3%
38
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Hellas Verona
3-0
Lecce
Dawidowicz (19'), Pessina (34'), Pazzini (86' pen.)
Faraoni (30'), Amrabat (65')

Tachtsidis (15'), Dell'Orco (58')
Dell'Orco (68')
Sep 1, 2019 7.45pm
Lecce
0-1
Hellas Verona

Rossettini (22'), Majer (85')
Pessina (81')
Kumbulla (3'), Gunter (65'), Verre (67')
Feb 26, 2019 8pm
Oct 5, 2018 8pm
Hellas Verona
0-2
Lecce

Seung-Woo (11'), Eguelfi (29'), Colombatto (86')
La Mantia (45'), Mancosu (68')
Scavone (53'), Petriccione (64'), Palombi (82'), Meccariello (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torino532085311
2Udinese431074310
3Napoli43019459
4Empoli52305239
5Inter Milan42209368
6Juventus42206068
7Lazio42118627
8Atalanta BCAtalanta42028806
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
10AC Milan41219635
11Genoa412145-15
12Parma411267-14
13Lecce411216-54
14Fiorentina403156-13
15Monza403134-13
16Roma403123-13
17Bologna403147-33
18Como402237-42
19CagliariCagliari502318-72
20VeneziaVenezia401318-71


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