Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.