Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia Calcio would win this match.