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Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
3 - 0
Swansea

Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stoke City play host to Swansea City on Tuesday evening knowing that they realistically require all three points if they want to get back into the Championship playoff mix.

The Potters only sit four points clear of their 16th-placed opponents, a scenario which only ups the stakes ahead of the contest at the bet365 Stadium.


Match preview

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill after the match on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Given the amount of changes that he made to his squad during January, no-one can accuse Stoke City boss Michael O'Neill of being afraid to show a ruthless streak at the bet365 Stadium.

With six defeats coming in 10 Championship matches, there can be no complaints either, and O'Neill will be hopeful that a number of fresh faces will reignite a playoff push.

At one stage, the Potters were well placed in the top six, but they suddenly find themselves down in 14th position with no more than two matches in hand on some of their rivals.

On the plus side, Stoke were able to progress through to the fifth round of the FA Cup on Saturday, Josh Maja and Jacob Brown getting on the scoresheet during a 2-0 win over Wigan Athletic.

Despite their opponents being a league below, Stoke ended Wigan's 20-game unbeaten streak, so confidence should be taken from that achievement.

Swansea City manager Russell Martin on January 25, 2022© Reuters

Swansea should be in an equally positive frame of mind after ending their own frustrating period with a 1-0 victory over second-placed Blackburn Rovers.

The Welsh outfit had lost six of their previous nine games ahead of that fixture, but Michael Obafemi's early goal proved to be the difference.

Although Russell Martin remains under pressure to keep his job, Swansea can move into the top half of the standings if they take advantage of their matches in hand.

However, with Swansea having not recorded back-to-back wins since November 2, Martin and his players will certainly not be getting ahead of themselves as they prepare for a potentially-pivotal match in their season.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Swansea City Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Swansea City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Stoke City's Jacob Brown celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 28, 2022© Reuters

Lewis Baker and Jaden Philogene-Bidace are in line to return to the Stoke starting lineup after being cup-tied at the weekend.

Nick Powell may take the spot of Mario Vrancic, while Maja could start ahead of Steven Fletcher in attack.

However, the new arrival may have to wait his turn with Brown having scored in his last two fixtures.

With Swansea having gone all-out attack against Blackburn, Martin may choose to be more conservative on away territory.

Ryan Bennett should return in place of the suspended Ryan Manning, while one of Jay Fulton or Korey Smith could get the nod over one of the offensive players.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Wilmot, Jagielka, Harwood-Bellis, Tymon; Baker, Thompson; Campbell, Powell, Philogene-Bidace; Brown

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Fisher; Cabango, Downes, Manning; Christie, Fulton, Grimes, Wolf; Ntcham, Paterson; Obafemi


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 1-1 Swansea City

Both teams are in a position in the table which allows them to throw everything at trying to collect all three points. However, neither side have been consistent this season, leaving us to predict a low-scoring draw in the Potteries.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
57.3%
Draw
28.0%
Swansea City
14.7%
75
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General view of Stoke City's bet365 Stadium taken March 2018
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Stoke City: Transfer ins and outs - January 2022
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6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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