Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Goztepe SK had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Goztepe SK win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.